Kael Khyran wrote:4. Charge the shades with the 2nd unit of dryades and watch them getting exterminated
5. Charge with your WR +wardancers (they won't be able to stand and shoot as they already shot at the dryades this turn)
He is choosing which unit he will stand and shoot against. and as the charge reactions are declared after ALL the charges was declared, he will easily choose which of your units he will exterminate.
They can't win this.
Are you sure? Because... They will win this, easily. Even when he will NOT stand and shoot at all. Just do the math:
8 dryads harge from the front. He maximize against them. Other unit charging from the front will have 1, maximally 2 models in BtB, because he maximize against the 1st one. The flanking unit will then have, something between 5 and 8 models in BtB.
Now, to the math. You charge. You have 6 WRs and 1 dryad to the front, and 8 WDs at his side. He have 8 models to the front, 5 to the flank, and 1 on the corner in BtB. Out of that 8 models, 4 are characters. Assassin is popped, at the flank. And whole unit have ASF and he can chosose hewre each of this character will be placed and so where he will be attacking...
Now, run some numbers:Dreadlord
to the Dryads. 4 attacks, 3,56 hits; 2,96 wounds. No dryad is attacking back.Assassin
to the WDs (say they choose the 4+WS dance, to survive at least SOMETHING): 6 attacks aprox, 5,33 hits; 3,56 wounds, 1,77 WDs dead. BSB
against the WRs. 3 attacks, 3,19 hist, 2,65 wounds, 1,77 WRs dead.GW master
against WRs. 3 attacks, 3,19 hits, 2,65 wounds, 1,77 WRs dead.Whip master
against WRs. 4 attacks, 3,56 hits; 2,96 wounds, 2,47 WRs dead. 4 Shades
against WRs. 4 attacks, 3 hits. 2,5 wounds, 1,67 WRs dead. WRs exterminated.5 shades incl. champion
against the WDs. 6 attacks, 4,5 hits, 3,75 wounds, 1,86 WDs dead.
Now it is your turn to attack. Finally. Out of all your models in BtB, only some WDs survived. Out of 8 of them, 3,73 is dead. Say you where lucky... 3. So, 5 WDs incl champion
attacking back. 11 attacks, 7,33 hits, 4,88 wounds. No save. Say you where lucky again - 5 dead Shades.
Now the CR time.
DE have... 3 WDs, 6 WRs, 3 Dryads, outnumber, BSB. 14.
WE have... flank, 5 dead shades. 6.14:6
Now... You where right. They can win this. But your units are the one e are talking about
You sacrificed aprox. 550 pts of your units to kill... 5 shades
Unicorn's conversions (updated 1st Jun)Painted
BSB, mounted noble, WD noble, Branchie, Alter, Treeman, 12 WR, 10 WD, 10 GR, 10 WW, 5 Dryads, 5 WhR, 6 Tk, Altar of KhaineFinished
Treeman, 10 WD, dragon lord, Alter, 9 WhR, 5 GR, DE sin, OK Butcher, Beast heroes x5